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Betting Blog

Rabada absence may tip scales in Australia's favour

South Africa's six-wicket victory in the second Test at Port Elizabeth means that this series is destined to go to the wire

Those are the odds on the 2-2 series draw, which is understandably the bookies' favourite after two matches of vastly fluctuating fortunes. Overall, however, Australia remain ever so slightly more likely to close out the win - they are 3/1 to claim a 2-1 series scoreline, and 11/4 for 3-1, compared to 5/1 and 8/1 for South Africa to secure the opposite result.
Much of that may be put down to the absence of Kagiso Rabada - South Africa's 11-wicket spearhead in the second Test has been banned for the remainder of the tour after racking up the demerit points in his altercation with Steve Smith.
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England in position to turn the one-day screw

England have the chance to seal a keenly contested ODI series in New Zealand when the fourth match gets underway in Dunedin on Wednesday

England have the chance to seal a keenly contested ODI series in New Zealand when the fourth match gets underway in Dunedin on Wednesday, and according to the odds-setters at Bet365, they are slender favourites to close out the rubber with a game to spare.
Admittedly the odds are not overwhelmingly in their favour - England are 8/13 for victory, compared to New Zealand's 13/10 - but the manner in which England got across the line at Wellington no doubt aids the impression that they've got the measure of this series.
They've been criticized in recent times for failing to knuckle down when the pitch conditions are not in their favour, but England's batsmen gutsed it out to reach a passable total of 234 at the Cake Tin, then closed out the game in no little style - ripping the heart out of New Zealand's batting thanks to the spin twins Moeen Ali and Adil Rashid, before a nerveless bout of death bowling from Tom Curran and Chris Woakes.
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Battle of the biffers at Eden Park

The two tri-series finalists, Australia and New Zealand, are in hard-hitting form going into Wednesday's showdown at Auckland

The inaugural T20 Tri-Series hasn't been the most competitive of initiatives so far, thanks largely to a lacklustre display from the third wheel in the partnership, England. However, the two finalists, Australia and New Zealand, are in hard-hitting form going into Wednesday's showdown at Auckland.
And not surprisingly, given their fireworks in Friday's group-stage contest against the same opponents, Australia start the match as 4/7 favourites. New Zealand thought they had the game sewn up when they posted a hefty 243 for 6 in their 20 overs, only for David Warner and D'Arcy Short to tear Eden Park to shreds as their team hunted down a world-record chase with seven balls to spare.
As you would expect, both Warner (8/1) and Short (10/1) feature prominently in the Man of the Match stakes, but it is the roundhouse slugging of Chris Lynn (15/2) that is the market leader. That said, New Zealand pack plenty punch of their own in the top order, with Colin Munro (8/1) and Martin Guptill (17/2) both eminently capable to taking a game to the cleaners.
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Stanlake a tempting price for repeat performance

England confirmed their white-ball credentials in the recent ODIs against Australia, but the bookmakers aren't entirely swayed when it comes to the 20-over format

Their first encounter takes place in Hobart on Wednesday, before a rematch in Melbourne on Saturday, and though England and Australia are 11/8 to be the two finalists, these two matches will go a long way towards establishing a pecking order ahead of the New Zealand leg of the tournament next week.
In keeping with a run-dominated BBL, most of the stand-out contenders for Man of the Match in Wednesday's contest are batsmen - Aaron Finch, Chris Lynn, Jos Buttler and David Warner lead the field at 8/1, with Jason Roy and Alex Hales tucked in behind them on 9/1 and D'Arcy Short - the hard-hitting Player of the Tournament in the BBL - at 10/1.
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England begin to walk the World Cup walk

However, England began the 2017 Champions Trophy as favourites to lift their maiden 50-over global title, and, well, that didn't turn out so well.

Memorably, England began the 2017 Champions Trophy as favourites to lift their maiden 50-over global title, and, well, that didn't turn out so well. A crushing malfunction in the semi-final at Cardiff, against the eventual winners Pakistan, condemned them to another year as also-rans, despite the huge strides they have been making in ODI cricket in the past three years.
So, what are we to make of the long-range World Cup odds at Bet365, especially hot on the heels of England's formidable 4-1 series win in Australia? Well, they aren't favourites yet - though at 7/2 they aren't exactly long odds either. But, seeing as it is the Aussies, the five-times World Cup champions, who top the charts at 10/3 despite the World Cup being contested in England's back yard? That's food for thought.
Any more barnstorming performances, such as Jason Roy's England-record 180 in the series opener at Melbourne, or Tom Curran's stunning display of reverse swing to swipe a cliffhanger in Perth on Sunday, and it will be hard to keep England from assuming the mantle of favourites. But for now, it seems, the bookies just can't quite bring themselves to believe what they are seeing. Or perhaps England's collapse of 8 for 5 at Adelaide on Friday is all the evidence they need to defer outright judgement...
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South Africa on course for 3-0 whitewash?

Despite showing a competitive spirit in both of the first two Tests, the market has lost faith in the ability of Virat Kohli's India to avoid a whitewash

Despite showing a competitive spirit in both of the first two Tests, and occasionally setting the agenda with both bat and ball, the market has lost faith in the ability of Virat Kohli's India to avoid a whitewash when the third Test against South Africa starts in Johannesburg this week.
According to Bet365, India are a distant 6/1 in a two-horse race to win the Test and secure a 2-1 series defeat, compared to South Africa's odds of 8/11. The draw is 2/1, although given the strength and incision of both team's bowling attacks, not to mention the Wanderers' reputation for pace and bounce, all the signs point to a positive outcome one way or another.
The identity of the Man of the Match is also deemed to be a bit of a two-horse race, certainly where the team's star batsmen are concerned. AB de Villiers, who made a crucial 80 to shore up South Africa's advantage at Centurion, is 6/1 to pick up the match honours, just ahead of Kohl at 7/1, in the wake of his brilliant first-innings hundred in the same game.
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Roy puts England on the front foot at last

Jason Roy's tub-thumping 180 at the MCG on Sunday lifted England to an emphatic five-wicket win in the first of five ODIs

Rejoice, rejoice! England are off the mark on their tour of Australia, and in no uncertain style as well. Jason Roy's tub-thumping 180 at the MCG on Sunday lifted England to an emphatic five-wicket win in the first of five ODIs, racking up England's highest ODI individual score in the process, as well as the highest run-chase ever achieved at Australia's grandest venue.
Australia, however, are backed by the bookies (8/13 to 13/10) to bounce back at the Gabba, their favourite venue for pom-baiting. And the men who are expected to do so are a familiar pairing. Steve Smith and David Warner dominated the batting stakes during the Ashes, and their class is expected to translate across formats.
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Smith expected to restore Australia's status quo

It was an improved showing from England in the fourth Test at Melbourne, but the bookmakers aren't fooled that they are back on an even footing

The reason for that Aussie favouritism is the wealth of potential matchwinners in their ranks. Steve Smith, the nailed-on Man of the Series after his three centuries to date, is 4/1 to secure his third Man of the Match award of the series, with Mitchell Starc backed to impress on his return from a heel injury - he is second-favourite at 7/1.
David Warner, Josh Hazlewood and Pat Cummins are all considered better bets to thrive than England's two likeliest lads, James Anderson and Joe Root, both of whom are at 12/1. So too is Nathan Lyon, who might be worth a flutter, given Sydney's traditional assistance for spin, not to mention his exemplary displays in the series so far.
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